Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev
12 signals across 1 market · $23,338 tracked · resolves May 31, 2026
This event tracks the Roland Garros ATP match between Adam Walton and Daniil Medvedev, with Polymarket odds trading on which player advances. PolySpotter has tracked $2,225 in smart money across 2 signals, including notable winner-backed activity on both the underdog and the favorite.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 90% winner buying underdog
A proven 90% win-rate wallet with strong lifetime profit is part of a 3-wallet cluster buying Daniil Medvedev against a sharp market move the other way.
$3,963Score: 22.7 - 92% winner spotted early move
Elite 92% win-rate wallet sold Medvedev before a major move toward Walton, alongside one-sided cluster flow and rapid price impact.
$1,324Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 12.0 - Profitable pro led Walton move
High-volume profitable trader bought Adam Walton before a major odds move, alongside one-sided wallet flow and a 26-point price impact.
$2,616Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 10.4 - Sharp traders on underdog
Four wallets bought Adam Walton, led by two highly profitable serial sports traders with strong track records despite the market now trading below their entry.
$4,697Score: 8.5 - 86% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with an 86% win rate and strong cross-market history bought Daniil Medvedev at 87¢ despite the market already being liquid.
$2,026Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 7.0 - 92% winner caught tennis flip
Elite 92% win-rate bettor effectively bought Adam Walton at 19¢ before a massive move to 84¢, matching a strong cross-market track record and rapid price impact.
$1,680Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.2 - Profitable serial sports sharp
Sharp, profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Daniil Medvedev at 67¢ on a tennis market with strong recent price momentum.
$1,140Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 6.0 - 93% winner backing underdog
Sharp serial sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Adam Walton at 12%, now already trading higher.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 6.0 - 89% winner backs favorite
Sharp tennis bettor with an 89% historical win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Daniil Medvedev at 66¢ despite a highly liquid market.
$1,180Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 4.0 - 81% winner backs underdog
Surface because this is a highly proven serial sports trader with an 81% win rate and over $546k profit buying the Walton upset despite the market moving lower afterward.
$1,384Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$3,004 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x2005d1…75ea$2,616 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
- 0xe9d31c…079f$2,026 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x479e33…91c3$1,384 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0xad70ed…23f1$1,225 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x99d76c…6435$1,180 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0xbbf379…aa3a$1,140 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$1,103 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0x4be1fa…aa70$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev?
The event market reflects the live implied probability that either Adam Walton or Daniil Medvedev advances at Roland Garros. Odds can move as traders react to form, matchup news, and smart money positioning.
What is the smart money doing on Walton vs Medvedev?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,225 in smart money across 2 signals. Recent alerts show strong winner backing on both sides: 93% winner backing the underdog and 77% winner backing the favorite, suggesting sharp traders are not fully aligned.
Is this a prediction market for the whole match?
Yes. This event covers the match outcome: Walton advances or Medvedev advances. It is not a point-by-point or set market; it resolves based on the official winner of the match.
When does the Walton vs Medvedev market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the match winner is determined, with a listed resolution deadline of May 31, 2026. If the match is canceled or delayed beyond the rules window, special resolution rules may apply.