Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
5 signals across 2 markets · $10,127 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027
This Polymarket event tracks whether Kylian Mbappé will finish in the top three of the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or ranking. PolySpotter has recorded one smart-money signal, with a new wallet scaling into Yes and $1,103 in smart money tracked across the event.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Serial winner adding to Yes position
A proven 25-for-25 trader with positive P&L is adding a sizable Yes position in a low-volume market, though the market is far from resolution.
$4,070Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 4.9 - Serial trader scaling into No
A serial cross-market trader added a sizable No position that accounts for 62% of the market’s 24-hour volume, though their 95% win rate comes with a very high average winning entry price.
$1,152Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 4.3 - New wallet scaling into Yes
A wallet less than a day old has made five large flagged trades totaling $11,221 and is adding to an existing substantial Yes position.
$1,103Score: 4.2 - New wallet scaling into Yes
A very new wallet has repeatedly made large bets and is adding to an existing Yes position in a relatively low-liquidity market as the price rises.
$2,722Score: 4.2 - New wallet scaling into Yes
A very new wallet has repeatedly made large bets and is adding to an existing Yes position in a relatively low-liquidity market as the price rises.
$1,080Score: 4.2
Top wallets in this event
- 0xdb0658…d9ac$4,070 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x22a283…aff7$3,802 · 1 market · 2 alerts
- 0x5cd5c8…ac33$1,152 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xaf3f36…b43e$1,103 · 1 market · 1 alert
FAQs
What does the 2026 Ballon d'Or top-three prediction market cover?
The event has one child market: whether Kylian Mbappé finishes in the top three of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.
What are the odds on Mbappé finishing in the top three?
Check the live market price on this page for the latest Polymarket odds. The price reflects traders' current expectations and can change over time.
What is smart money doing in the Mbappé market?
PolySpotter has tracked one smart-money signal: a new wallet scaling into Yes. The event has $1,103 in tracked smart-money activity.
When does the 2026 Ballon d'Or market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027, at 04:59 UTC. A Yes outcome means Mbappé finishes in the official top three; otherwise, it resolves No.