Bitcoin above ___ on May 1?
2 signals across 2 markets · $6,000 tracked · resolves May 1, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin will close above key price levels at noon ET on May 1, with separate markets for $74,000 and $78,000. PolySpotter is monitoring $6,000 in smart money activity across the event, including a profitable serial timer buying YES.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial timer buying YES
Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought Yes 48 minutes before close and the market quickly moved from 86¢ to 92¢, though the edge is modest and this is a liquid BTC market.
$4,300Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 5.8 - Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
$1,700Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x388537…ca77$4,300 · 1 market · 1 alert · 51% wins
- 0x66ad42…cc4e$1,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin May 1 prediction market odds?
This event covers Polymarket odds on whether BTC will be above $74,000 or $78,000 at the specified May 1 resolution time. Each strike has its own YES/NO market, so traders can price different upside scenarios separately.
What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin event?
PolySpotter has tracked $6,000 in smart money activity across the May 1 Bitcoin strike markets. A recent alert showed a profitable serial timer buying YES, suggesting at least one strong trader is positioning for Bitcoin to finish above one of the listed thresholds.
How does this Bitcoin market resolve?
The markets resolve based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 PM ET on May 1. If the final close price is higher than the strike price in a child market, that market resolves YES; otherwise it resolves NO.
Which outcomes are traded in this event?
The event includes two Bitcoin price targets: BTC above $74,000 and BTC above $78,000 on May 1. Traders can buy YES or NO on each level depending on how likely they think Bitcoin is to clear that threshold.