Bitcoin above ___ on May 29?
7 signals across 1 market · $33,680 tracked · resolves May 29, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin will be above $74,000 on May 29, based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at noon ET. PolySpotter is tracking $1,401 in smart-money activity across the event, including a recent 92% cross-market sharp signal.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp timer cluster buying No
High-scoring coordinated No flow from profitable serial BTC/event traders, including an 85% winner, placed minutes before resolution amid a major volume and price spike.
$8,668Score: 19.5 - Serial timers fading No
High-scoring near-resolution cluster led by serial cross-market traders with 94–97% records, though the trade was a SELL No position equivalent to buying Yes and the market has since moved to No at 100%.
$10,760Score: 18.8 - 97% serial timer
A highly successful serial near-resolution trader sold No twice, equivalent to buying Yes around 20¢, ahead of a sharp move toward Yes.
$3,931Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 14.3 - 94% serial timer on YES
Elite 94% winner made a near-resolution BTC bet equivalent to buying Yes at 48¢, with the market quickly moving toward that side.
$3,653Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 14.2 - Profitable serial timer
Profitable serial near-resolution trader flipped into No 17 minutes before expiry as volume and price moved sharply the same way.
$1,248Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 12.3 - Profitable serial timer
Profitable serial near-resolution bettor bought No shortly before the BTC candle, alongside a 65x volume spike and major price move toward No.
$4,019Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 10.4 - 92% cross-market sharp
Sharp 92% lifetime wallet with a long serial cross-market history is effectively buying No on a near-resolution BTC level market.
$1,401Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x4ee29e…46e1$4,019 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x46992d…e03c$3,931 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x4f4d87…ebde$3,653 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x66ad42…cc4e$1,401 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0x6e1d50…d0fa$1,248 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Bitcoin is above $74,000 on May 29?
The live Polymarket odds show how traders are pricing the chance that BTC/USDT closes above $74,000 at the specified noon ET candle on May 29. Odds can move quickly with Bitcoin price action, volatility, and broader crypto market sentiment.
What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin market?
PolySpotter currently tracks $1,401 in smart-money activity for this event, with one recent signal flagged as a 92% cross-market sharp alert. That suggests a trader or position with strong historical or cross-market relevance has taken interest.
How does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?
The market resolves Yes if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on May 29 has a final close price above $74,000. If the close is $74,000 or below, it resolves No.
Where does Polymarket get the Bitcoin price for settlement?
Settlement uses Binance BTC/USDT candle data, specifically the 1-minute candle close for the relevant noon ET timestamp.
Is this event about Bitcoin’s daily high or final price?
No. This event is not based on Bitcoin’s daily high, low, or end-of-day price. It only depends on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at noon ET on May 29.