Bitcoin above ___ on May 4?
6 signals across 2 markets · $28,300 tracked · resolves May 4, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Serial last-minute BTC timer
High-conviction near-resolution Bitcoin trade led by a profitable serial timer and reinforced by three wallets buying Yes minutes before settlement.
$4,336Score: 18.7 - Serial timer buying NO
High-score alert from a profitable serial near-resolution trader whose NO buys preceded a sharp move from 57¢ to 92¢ with supporting volume and price-impact signals.
$8,155Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 12.0 - Profitable serial timer buys NO
Profitable serial timer placed a concentrated $6.2k late bet on No ahead of resolution, backed by a volume spike and sharp market movement.
$6,178Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 7.8 - BTC momentum bettor
Surfacing due to strong Bitcoin-market momentum: a profitable high-volume wallet bought Yes amid a 151x volume spike and 22-point price move, with related positions across three markets.
$4,206Wallet win rate: 49%Score: 6.9 - 92% winner flips toward Yes
A very high-win-rate serial cross-market trader exited a No position, effectively taking the Yes side at about 11¢ as No price fell quickly.
$1,554Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.3 - Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
$3,871Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x6e1d50…d0fa$12,026 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 58% wins
- 0x4ee29e…46e1$6,178 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0xe9c631…95c9$4,206 · 1 market · 1 alert · 49% wins
- 0x66ad42…cc4e$1,554 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins