Bitcoin price on May 4?
2 signals across 2 markets · $9,204 tracked · resolves May 4, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks where Bitcoin will trade at noon ET on May 4, based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute closing price. Traders are pricing specific BTC ranges, including $74,000–$76,000 and $80,000–$82,000, with PolySpotter highlighting smart-money activity from profitable crypto-focused accounts.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial timer near close
Profitable serial timer is trading this BTC bracket 39 minutes before resolution, with the largest/latest leg on Yes despite partially hedging both sides.
$7,712Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 7.5 - Profitable serial crypto trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought YES in a quiet BTC range market with a bet far larger than recent volume.
$1,491Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x4ee29e…46e1$7,712 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0x6e1d50…d0fa$1,491 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin price on May 4 odds on Polymarket?
The odds reflect market-implied probabilities for Bitcoin closing in each listed price range at noon ET on May 4, using Binance BTC/USDT data. This event includes range markets such as $74,000–$76,000 and $80,000–$82,000.
What outcomes are being traded in this Bitcoin prediction market?
Traders are betting on whether Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute close at 12:00 PM ET on May 4 falls within specific brackets. The event hub groups those related price-range markets together.
What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin market?
PolySpotter has tracked $9,204 in smart-money activity across this event, including signals from a profitable serial crypto trader and a profitable timer active near market close.
When does the Bitcoin price on May 4 market resolve?
The event resolves after the Binance BTC/USDT 12:00 PM ET 1-minute candle on May 4 is finalized. Resolution is based on that candle’s official close price.
Where does Polymarket get the Bitcoin price for this event?
The resolution source is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT market with 1-minute candles. The final close price of the noon ET candle determines which price bracket, if any, resolves Yes.