Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $2,162 tracked · resolves May 15, 2026

This event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes up or down on the BTC/USDT 1-hour candle starting May 15 at 10AM ET. Traders are pricing a simple binary outcome: whether the Binance candle closes at or above its open, or below it. PolySpotter has tracked $2,162 in smart money activity, including a signal from an 84% winner catching the move.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET1 signal · $2,162 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 84% winner caught move

    Despite a weak timing signal, this is worth surfacing because the wallet has a large profitable history and caught a fast move from 75¢ to 88¢.

    $2,162Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 1.9

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xbc9bb51b9c$2,162 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 15 10AM ET odds?

The odds reflect Polymarket traders' live probability that the BTC/USDT 1-hour candle starting at 10AM ET closes up versus down. If the close is greater than or equal to the open, the market resolves to Up; otherwise it resolves to Down.

What is smart money doing on this Bitcoin prediction market?

PolySpotter has tracked $2,162 in smart money across this event, with one recent signal. The notable alert headline says an 84% winner caught the move, suggesting a historically successful trader took action on this short-term BTC outcome.

How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The market resolves using Binance BTC/USDT 1-hour candle data. It checks the candle that begins May 15 at 10AM ET: if the close price is at least the open price, Up wins; if the close is lower than the open, Down wins.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 15 market resolve?

This event is scheduled to resolve after the relevant 1-hour Binance BTC/USDT candle is complete, with resolution expected by May 15, 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

Is this a Bitcoin price target market?

No. This is not about Bitcoin reaching a specific price level. It only asks whether the selected 1-hour BTC/USDT candle closes higher than or equal to its open, or closes lower.