Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4AM ET
1 signal across 1 market · $1,200 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026
This event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes up or down on the BTC/USDT 1-hour candle beginning May 16 at 4AM ET. PolySpotter has tracked $1,200 in smart money activity, including a recent “87% BTC timer” alert, to help traders follow how informed bettors are positioning.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0x562ff6…fd6c$1,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16 at 4AM ET?
The odds reflect Polymarket pricing on whether the BTC/USDT 1-hour candle closes at or above its open price. Check the event page for live odds across the Up and Down outcomes.
What does the recent “87% BTC timer” alert mean?
It indicates PolySpotter flagged notable smart money activity tied to this Bitcoin timer market. The alert helps highlight where tracked traders may be concentrating their positions, but it is not a guarantee of the final outcome.
How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The market resolves to Up if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-hour candle starting at 4AM ET closes greater than or equal to its open. If the close is lower than the open, it resolves to Down.
When does the Bitcoin May 16 4AM ET market resolve?
The relevant candle runs for one hour starting at 4AM ET on May 16. Resolution is expected after the candle closes, around 5AM ET, once Binance data is available.
How much smart money is tracked on this event?
PolySpotter is tracking $1,200 in smart money activity across this Bitcoin Up or Down event, with 1 recent smart money signal recorded.