Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,000 tracked · resolves May 5, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin’s BTC/USDT 1-hour candle starting May 5 at 3AM ET closes up or down versus its open price. Traders are betting on the short-term BTC direction, with PolySpotter tracking $1,000 in smart money and a recent alert showing a 96% BTC bettor buying Down.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET1 signal · $1,000 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 96% BTC bettor buys Down

    Sharp BTC bettor with a 96% resolved win record bought Down 40 minutes before resolution, though the signal is tempered by the short-duration market and price moving against their entry.

    $1,000Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x2eae44ac27$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 5 3AM ET odds?

The odds reflect the market-implied probability that the BTC/USDT 1-hour candle beginning May 5 at 3AM ET closes at or above its open price for Up, or below its open for Down. PolySpotter tracks the live market plus smart money activity around both outcomes.

What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin prediction market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,000 in smart money activity for this event. The latest alert noted that a 96% BTC bettor bought Down, suggesting a high-conviction trader is positioning for Bitcoin to close lower during this 1-hour window.

How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The market resolves to Up if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-hour candle starting at 3AM ET on May 5 closes greater than or equal to its open. It resolves to Down if the close is below the open.

Where does the Bitcoin price data come from?

Resolution is based on Binance BTC/USDT candle data. The open and close values shown for the relevant 1-hour candle are used to determine whether Bitcoin finished Up or Down.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 5 3AM ET event resolve?

The event resolves after the relevant 1-hour candle is complete, with the listed resolution time of May 5, 2026 at 08:00 UTC.