Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?
3 signals across 1 market · $12,288 tracked · resolves May 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin closes higher or lower at the May 31 noon ET BTC/USDT reference candle versus the May 30 noon ET candle. PolySpotter has flagged $1,782 in tracked smart-money activity, including a signal from a profitable serial trader, giving traders extra context beyond the headline odds.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial timer buys Down
A profitable serial near-resolution crypto trader put $6.3k on Down about 33 minutes before settlement, backed by a long history of timed bets and positive P&L.
$6,307Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 6.5 - Profitable serial timer
Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought $4.2k of Down roughly 46 minutes before BTC market resolution, backed by a long history of timed bets and positive P&L.
$4,198Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 6.4 - Profitable serial trader
Profitable high-volume trader bought Down after a sharp move, combining a strong cross-market history with fresh price momentum.
$1,782Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 2.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x6e1d50…d0fa$12,288 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 60% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31 odds?
The odds come from Polymarket trading on whether BTC finishes above or below the prior day’s noon ET Binance BTC/USDT close. Check the event market for the latest live price-implied probabilities.
What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin prediction market?
PolySpotter currently tracks $1,782 in smart-money activity on this event, with one recent alert highlighting a profitable serial trader. That signal can help identify whether experienced traders are leaning toward Up or Down.
How does the Bitcoin May 31 market resolve?
The market resolves based on Binance 1-minute BTC/USDT candle close prices: May 30 at 12:00 ET versus May 31 at 12:00 ET. If the May 31 close is higher, Up wins; if lower, Down wins.
When does this Bitcoin Up or Down event resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by May 31, 2026 at 16:00 UTC, after the relevant noon ET Binance BTC/USDT candle close is available.