Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,074 tracked · resolves Apr 4, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes up or down over the 15-minute window from April 4, 3:15 PM to 3:30 PM ET, using Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream for resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $1,074 in smart money activity across the event, including a recent signal tied to an 88% win-rate timer.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET1 signal · $1,074 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 88% win-rate timer

    A highly profitable wallet with an exceptional 88% win rate sold Up 15 minutes before resolution, which converts to a buy signal on Down at an implied 65¢.

    $1,074Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 6.6

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xc58db005d6$1,074 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins

FAQs

What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4 at 3:15 PM ET?

The odds move as traders price whether Chainlink's BTC/USD price at 3:30 PM ET will be greater than or equal to its price at 3:15 PM ET. Check the live Polymarket market and PolySpotter smart money feed for the latest probability.

What does “Up” mean in this Bitcoin prediction market?

“Up” means the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning. If it is lower, the market resolves to “Down.”

Is smart money betting on this Bitcoin Up or Down event?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,074 in smart money activity and 1 signal for this event. A recent alert referenced an 88% win-rate timer, which can help users spot notable trading activity around the 15-minute Bitcoin move.

When does this Polymarket event resolve?

The event covers April 4 from 3:15 PM to 3:30 PM ET and is scheduled to resolve after the window ends, by 19:30 UTC, using Chainlink BTC/USD data.

Which Bitcoin price source decides the result?

Resolution is based on Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream, not necessarily the price shown on a crypto exchange or another charting provider.