Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $972 tracked · resolves Apr 4, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the April 4, 4:15–4:30 PM ET window higher or lower than where it started, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. PolySpotter has tracked $972 in smart money activity across the event, including a recent 107-0 sharp bettor signal that may help traders gauge market conviction.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET1 signal · $972 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 107-0 sharp bettor

    A bettor with a perfect 107-for-107 resolved record bought Up at 62¢, and the market has already moved to 68¢ after their entry.

    $972Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 4.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xe094ff7fa2$972 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down April 4 odds on Polymarket?

The event price reflects the market-implied odds that Bitcoin will end the 4:15–4:30 PM ET window at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. Check the live Polymarket order book and PolySpotter smart money feed for the latest movement.

What outcomes are being traded in this Bitcoin prediction market?

This event centers on a short-term Bitcoin price direction market: “Up” if the ending BTC/USD price is greater than or equal to the starting price, and “Down” otherwise.

What is the smart money doing on this event?

PolySpotter currently tracks $972 in smart money activity and 1 signal for this event. The latest alert highlighted a 107-0 sharp bettor, suggesting notable one-sided activity from a tracked trader.

How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

Resolution is based on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream. If the Chainlink price at 4:30 PM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 4:15 PM ET, the market resolves to Up; otherwise it resolves to Down.

When does the Bitcoin April 4, 4:15–4:30 PM ET market resolve?

The event resolves after the 15-minute window ends, with the listed resolution time of April 4, 2026 at 20:30 UTC, corresponding to 4:30 PM ET.