Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
1 signal across 1 market · $1,307 tracked · resolves Apr 10, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 4:30PM-4:45PM ET window on April 10 up or down versus its starting price, using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream for resolution. PolySpotter shows the live prediction-market odds alongside smart money activity, including a recent near-expiry timing signal.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0x99ddb0…2add$1,307 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
FAQs
What is the Bitcoin Up or Down April 10 prediction market?
It is a short-term Polymarket event on whether Bitcoin's Chainlink BTC/USD price at 4:45PM ET is greater than or equal to its price at 4:30PM ET. If it is, the market resolves to Up; otherwise, it resolves to Down.
How are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down determined?
The odds come from traders buying and selling shares on Polymarket. Prices shift in real time as the market reacts to Bitcoin movement, order flow, and smart money positioning before the 4:45PM ET resolution.
What is the smart money doing in this market?
PolySpotter is tracking $1,307 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal. The latest alert noted a serial timer near expiry, suggesting experienced traders were active close to the end of the trading window.
When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The market resolves after the April 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET window ends, based on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream value at the start and end of that interval.
Does this market use Coinbase, Binance, or another Bitcoin price?
No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream, so prices from exchanges or other charting tools may not match the official settlement source exactly.