Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,138 tracked · resolves Apr 12, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin will finish up or down over the 15-minute window from April 12, 10:45AM to 11:00AM ET. Traders are betting on a simple BTC price direction outcome using Chainlink BTC/USD data, with PolySpotter showing $1,138 in tracked smart money and a recent signal from a profitable serial timer.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET1 signal · $1,138 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial timer

    A proven profitable serial timer with an 81% win rate bought Down 4 minutes before resolution, and the market moved sharply in their favor from 89% to 98%.

    $1,138Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 6.4

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x99ddb02add$1,138 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins

FAQs

What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12, 10:45AM–11:00AM ET?

The live Polymarket odds reflect whether traders expect Bitcoin to end the 15-minute window at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. Check the event page for the current Up and Down pricing as the window approaches.

How does this Bitcoin Up or Down prediction market resolve?

The market resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 11:00AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 10:45AM ET. If it is lower, the market resolves to Down.

What is the smart money doing in this Bitcoin market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,138 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent alert labeled “Profitable serial timer,” suggesting activity from a trader with a history of timing these short-window markets.

Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another Bitcoin price?

No. This market uses Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream as the resolution source, so prices on exchanges like Coinbase or Binance may differ slightly and do not determine the outcome.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The event is scheduled around the April 12, 10:45AM–11:00AM ET window and resolves after the end of that period once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD prices are available.