PolySpotter

Follow the smart money

Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,706 tracked · resolves Apr 22, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 5:00–5:15 PM ET window on April 22 higher or lower than where it started, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. Traders are pricing the short-term move between the Up and Down outcomes, with PolySpotter tracking $1,706 in smart-money activity and one recent signal highlighted by a 98% win-rate timer alert.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET1 signal · $1,706 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 98% win-rate timer

    A bettor with an exceptional 98% win rate bought Up at 62¢ about 15 minutes before resolution, and the market has since moved sharply in their favor to 94¢.

    $1,706Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 6.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xe094ff…7fa2$1,706 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins

FAQs

What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22 at 5:00 PM ET?

The event odds reflect how Polymarket traders are pricing whether BTC will be Up or Down over the 15-minute window from 5:00 to 5:15 PM ET. Check the live market prices on the event page for the latest implied probabilities.

What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin prediction market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,706 in smart-money activity across this event, including one recent alert headline: a 98% win-rate timer signal. That suggests at least one historically strong trader or strategy has been active in this short-term BTC market.

How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The market resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 5:15 PM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 5:00 PM ET. If the ending price is lower than the starting price, it resolves to Down.

Is this based on Coinbase or Binance Bitcoin prices?

No. This event resolves using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not a specific exchange such as Coinbase, Binance, or Kraken. Small differences between exchange prices and Chainlink data can matter in a 15-minute market.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down event resolve?

The event is scheduled to resolve after the 5:00–5:15 PM ET window on April 22, 2026, once the Chainlink BTC/USD start and end prices are used to determine the outcome.