Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
2 signals across 1 market · $2,312 tracked · resolves Apr 29, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin will finish the 9:30AM–9:45AM ET window on April 29 higher or lower than where it started, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. PolySpotter has tracked $2,312 in smart money activity across this event, including a notable signal that a 93% winner bought Down.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 93% winner bought Down
Sharp BTC bettor with a 93% tracked win rate bought Down at 50¢ shortly before resolution and the market has already moved to 60¢.
$1,223Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 13.5 - Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
$1,089Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 7.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0x48522f…8fd6$1,223 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x064a11…245d$1,089 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin Up or Down April 29 odds?
The odds reflect the market-implied chance that Bitcoin ends the 9:30AM–9:45AM ET window at or above its starting price versus finishing lower. Check the live Polymarket prices for the current Up and Down probabilities.
What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin market?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,312 in smart money activity and 2 signals for this event. One recent alert showed a 93% winner buying Down, suggesting at least one strong trader was positioning for Bitcoin to finish lower over the window.
How does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 9:45AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 9:30AM ET. If the ending price is lower, it resolves to Down.
Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another exchange price?
No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream, not prices from individual exchanges or other Bitcoin price feeds.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down April 29 market end?
The trading window is April 29 from 9:30AM to 9:45AM ET, and the event is scheduled to resolve after that window, by 13:45 UTC.