Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $3,596 tracked · resolves May 10, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the May 10, 2:15AM–2:30AM ET window up or down versus its starting price. Traders are pricing a short-term BTC move using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream, with PolySpotter currently tracking $3,596 in smart money and a recent signal from a serial timer with an 81% win rate.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET1 signal · $3,596 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Serial timer with 81% wins

    Profitable serial near-resolution bettor bought Down seconds before close with an 81% track record and strong edge.

    $3,596Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 12.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xce565e16b1$3,596 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins

FAQs

What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10 at 2:15AM ET?

The event’s odds reflect whether traders expect Bitcoin to end the 15-minute window higher or lower than where it started. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket pricing plus smart money activity around the Up and Down outcomes.

How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The market resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 2:30AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 2:15AM ET. If it is lower, the market resolves to “Down.”

What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin market?

PolySpotter has tracked $3,596 in smart money across this event, including one recent signal flagged as a serial timer with an 81% win rate. That suggests at least one historically successful short-window trader has been active.

Is this market based on Coinbase, Binance, or another exchange price?

No. Resolution is based specifically on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream, not prices from Coinbase, Binance, TradingView, or other exchanges.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 10 market resolve?

The event resolves after the 2:15AM–2:30AM ET window ends on May 10, using the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the start and end of that interval.