Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $4,162 tracked · resolves May 10, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the May 10, 9:30AM–9:45AM ET window higher or lower than where it started, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $4,162 in smart-money activity on this short-term BTC prediction market, including a recent signal from a profitable near-expiry whale.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET1 signal · $4,162 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable near-expiry whale

    A profitable wallet made a large near-expiry Up bet that dwarfed prior 24h volume and is already moving in its favor.

    $4,162Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 2.2

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xf5c1326683$4,162 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins

FAQs

What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10, 9:30AM–9:45AM ET?

The market odds reflect traders’ live expectations for whether Bitcoin will end the 15-minute window at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. Check the event page for the latest Up and Down pricing, volume, and smart-money positioning.

What does the smart money show for this Bitcoin prediction market?

PolySpotter has tracked $4,162 in smart-money activity across this event, with one recent signal flagged: a profitable near-expiry whale. That suggests at least one historically successful trader took a position close to resolution, which can be useful context in a fast-moving 15-minute BTC market.

How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The market resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 9:45AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 9:30AM ET. If the ending price is lower than the starting price, it resolves to “Down.”

Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another Bitcoin price feed?

No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not on prices from Coinbase, Binance, TradingView, or any other exchange or charting source.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 10 market resolve?

This event is scheduled to resolve after the 9:30AM–9:45AM ET window on May 10, once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD start and end prices are available.