Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

2 signals across 1 market · $4,619 tracked · resolves May 10, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 7:15PM–7:30PM ET window on May 10 higher or lower based on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream. Traders are betting on the short-term BTC direction, with PolySpotter currently tracking $4,619 in smart money activity and recent signals from high-confidence BTC timing accounts.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET2 signals · $4,619 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 98% serial timer

    A highly profitable serial near-resolution bettor with a 98% historical win rate bought Down at 60% shortly before this BTC 15-minute market resolved.

    $1,618Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 10.1
  2. 92% BTC timer

    A highly proven BTC short-window bettor with a 92% win rate bought $3k of Down about 14 minutes before resolution, despite the market now pricing it lower.

    $3,001Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 7.8

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x878965257b$3,001 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
  2. 0xf0dd3eba35$1,618 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 10 odds on Polymarket?

The odds reflect the market-implied probability that Bitcoin will be at or above its starting price at 7:15PM ET versus below it at 7:30PM ET. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket pricing and smart money activity around this short 15-minute BTC move.

What does “Up” mean in this Bitcoin prediction market?

“Up” resolves if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the 7:15PM–7:30PM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the start. If the ending price is lower, the market resolves to “Down.”

Who is betting on this Bitcoin Up/Down market?

PolySpotter is tracking $4,619 in smart money across this event, including recent alerts labeled “98% serial timer” and “92% BTC timer,” suggesting activity from traders with strong prior timing records.

What is the smart money doing on this BTC timer market?

Recent PolySpotter alerts show two smart money signals on the event, pointing to notable activity from Bitcoin-focused timer accounts. These alerts can help users see whether experienced traders are leaning toward Up or Down as the window approaches.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 10 market resolve?

The market resolves after the 7:15PM–7:30PM ET window on May 10, using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream as the official resolution source.