PolySpotter

Follow the smart money

Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,067 tracked · resolves May 11, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the May 11, 5:15AM–5:30AM ET window up or down versus its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. Traders are betting on the short-term BTC move across the event’s outcome, with PolySpotter currently tracking $1,067 in smart money activity and a signal from a profitable serial timer.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET1 signal · $1,067 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial timer

    Serial near-resolution BTC bettor with large lifetime profit and linked-wallet backing bought Down eight minutes before close despite only a modest win rate.

    $1,067Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 15.8

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xb55fa1…64d4$1,067 · 1 market · 1 alert · 50% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 11 odds?

The odds reflect Polymarket traders’ expectations for whether BTC will end the 5:15AM–5:30AM ET window at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. Check the live market on PolySpotter for the latest price-implied probability.

What does “Up” mean in this Bitcoin prediction market?

“Up” resolves if the Bitcoin price at the end of the 15-minute window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning, using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream as the resolution source.

What is the smart money doing on this event?

PolySpotter is tracking $1,067 in smart money across this event, including one recent signal flagged as a profitable serial timer. That suggests at least one historically successful short-duration trader has taken interest in the market.

When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The event covers May 11 from 5:15AM to 5:30AM ET and is expected to resolve after the end of that window, based on Chainlink BTC/USD data.

Is this market based on Coinbase or Binance Bitcoin prices?

No. This Polymarket event resolves using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, so prices on Coinbase, Binance, or other exchanges may not be the official source for settlement.