Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

2 signals across 1 market · $3,144 tracked · resolves May 11, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the May 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET window at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. PolySpotter has tracked $3,144 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including a profitable serial timer and a 98% crypto timer buying Up.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET2 signals · $3,144 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial timer

    Serial near-resolution BTC timer with positive lifetime P&L bought Up twice at 89% minutes before close, alongside linked-wallet clustering and a sharp price move to 96%.

    $2,008Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 16.7
  2. 98% crypto timer buying Up

    A highly profitable 98% win-rate wallet bought Bitcoin Up shortly before resolution and the market has already moved from 50¢ to 66¢.

    $1,136Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 10.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xb55fa164d4$2,008 · 1 market · 1 alert · 50% wins
  2. 0xf8318969b9$1,136 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 11 odds on Polymarket?

The odds reflect trader expectations for whether Chainlink’s BTC/USD price will end the 6:00AM-6:15AM ET window at or above where it started. Check the live event page for current pricing, liquidity, and movement.

What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin Up/Down market?

PolySpotter has flagged 2 smart money signals totaling $3,144. Recent alerts include a profitable serial timer and a 98% crypto timer buying Up, suggesting notable informed interest on the Up side.

How does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?

The market resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the 15-minute window is greater than or equal to the starting price. Otherwise, it resolves to “Down.”

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 11 market resolve?

This event covers May 11 from 6:00AM to 6:15AM ET and is expected to resolve shortly after the window ends, using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream.

Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another exchange price?

No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not a single exchange price or another charting source.