Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
2 signals across 1 market · $3,536 tracked · resolves May 11, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the May 11, 7:45–8:00AM ET window up or down versus its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. PolySpotter is tracking $2,336 in smart money activity, including a signal flagged as a profitable serial timer cluster, giving traders extra context beyond the headline odds.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial timer cluster
High-score alert from a profitable serial near-resolution BTC bettor with linked-wallet support, though the opposing trades make this more of a fast-moving timing signal than a clean long-term thesis.
$2,336Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 12.7 - Profitable serial timer
Serial near-resolution bettor with positive lifetime P&L bought Up 5.3 minutes before resolution and the market immediately moved to 100%, with linked-wallet context adding support.
$1,200Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 12.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0xb55fa1…64d4$3,536 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 50% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 11 odds?
The odds reflect the market-implied probability that Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price will be higher or equal at 8:00AM ET than it was at 7:45AM ET. Check the live Polymarket event for the current Up and Down pricing.
What does this Bitcoin prediction market cover?
This event covers a 15-minute Bitcoin price move from 7:45AM to 8:00AM ET on May 11. It resolves to Up if the ending Chainlink BTC/USD price is greater than or equal to the starting price, and Down otherwise.
What is the smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,336 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal described as a profitable serial timer cluster. That suggests activity from traders with a history of timing similar short-window markets well.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by May 11, 2026 at 12:00 UTC. Resolution is based on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not prices from exchanges or other index sources.