Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,236 tracked · resolves May 14, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the May 14, 12:30PM–12:45PM ET window higher or lower based on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream. Traders are pricing a short-term BTC move, with PolySpotter tracking $1,236 in smart money activity and a recent signal showing a sharp bettor fading the Down side.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET1 signal · $1,236 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp bettor fading Down

    Sharp short-term crypto bettor with a 77% resolved win rate is fading Down near resolution, effectively taking Up at 30¢ despite the market moving against them.

    $1,236Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 7.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x5d34a51d7f$1,236 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 14 odds?

The odds reflect Polymarket traders’ real-time expectations for whether Bitcoin will end the 12:30PM–12:45PM ET window at or above its starting price. On PolySpotter, you can monitor how those odds move alongside tracked smart money activity.

What does “Up” mean in this Bitcoin prediction market?

“Up” resolves if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the 15-minute window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning. If it is lower, the market resolves to “Down.”

What is the smart money doing on this event?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,236 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent alert that a sharp bettor is fading Down. That suggests at least one tracked trader is positioning against the outcome that Bitcoin finishes lower.

When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The event covers May 14 from 12:30PM to 12:45PM ET and is scheduled to resolve after the window ends, using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream as the resolution source.

Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another exchange price?

No. This market resolves using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not prices from a single exchange or another charting source. Small differences between data providers can matter for short 15-minute markets.