PolySpotter

Follow the smart money

Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,786 tracked · resolves May 18, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 6:45–7:00PM ET window on May 18 up or down versus its starting price, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $1,786 in smart-money activity, including a notable last-minute exit from a trader with a 94% win rate.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET1 signal · $1,786 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 94% winner’s last-minute exit

    A 94% winning BTC micro-market trader sold Up seconds before resolution, effectively taking the Down side at 11¢, though this was also an exit from a prior Up position.

    $1,786Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 10.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x7ce9fe…b516$1,786 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down odds for May 18, 6:45–7:00PM ET?

The event’s odds reflect Polymarket trading on whether Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price ends the 15-minute window at or above its starting price, or below it. Check the live market prices for the latest implied odds.

What is the smart money doing in this Bitcoin prediction market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,786 in smart-money activity for this event. The key recent signal was a last-minute exit by a trader with a 94% win rate, which may indicate reduced conviction or risk management before resolution.

How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

It resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 7:00PM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 6:45PM ET. If it is lower, the market resolves to “Down.”

Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another exchange price?

No. The stated resolution source is Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, so prices from individual exchanges may differ and do not determine the outcome.

When does the May 18 6:45PM Bitcoin market resolve?

The trading window ends at 7:00PM ET on May 18, and the event is scheduled to resolve by 23:00 UTC after the Chainlink BTC/USD data is used to determine the result.