PolySpotter

Follow the smart money

Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,200 tracked · resolves May 21, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 4:15–4:30AM ET window on May 21 at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price, resolving as Up or Down. PolySpotter has tracked $1,200 in smart money activity, including a recent “Profitable BTC timer” signal, to help traders see how experienced wallets are positioning.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET1 signal · $1,200 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable BTC timer

    A profitable high-volume BTC bettor made another near-resolution Down bet, but the signal is tempered because this is a very short-duration market and the price has moved against the entry.

    $1,200Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 5.1

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xf126e9…3e8b$1,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 21 odds?

The odds reflect the live Polymarket pricing for whether BTC ends the 4:15–4:30AM ET interval at or above its starting price. Check the event page for the latest Up and Down probabilities.

What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,200 in smart money across this event, with one recent signal highlighted as “Profitable BTC timer.” That suggests a historically profitable crypto timing wallet has taken a position.

How does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?

It resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream price at 4:30AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 4:15AM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to Down.

Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another exchange price?

No. This event resolves using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not the price from a specific exchange or other charting source.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 21 market resolve?

The event is scheduled to resolve after the 4:15–4:30AM ET window on May 21, with resolution expected by 08:30 UTC.