Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,004 tracked · resolves Jul 2, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 11:30–11:45 PM ET window on July 1 higher or lower than where it started, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. Traders are betting on the short-term BTC move, with recent smart money activity showing a 94% winner buying the Down side.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET1 signal · $1,004 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 94% winner buying Down

    A highly profitable wallet with a 94% historical win rate bought Down on a thin short-term BTC market with a $1k position.

    $1,004Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 7.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x878965257b$1,004 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down July 1 odds on Polymarket?

The odds reflect the market-implied probability that Bitcoin will end the 11:30–11:45 PM ET window either up or down versus its starting price. PolySpotter tracks this event’s pricing alongside smart money activity.

What is the smart money doing in this Bitcoin prediction market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,004 in smart money activity for this event, with a recent alert showing a 94% winner buying Down. That suggests at least one historically successful trader is positioning for BTC to finish lower over the 15-minute window.

How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The market resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the 15-minute range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning. Otherwise, it resolves to Down.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down July 1 market resolve?

This event covers July 1 from 11:30 PM to 11:45 PM ET and is scheduled to resolve after the window ends, using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream.