Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $2,971 tracked · resolves Jul 2, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the July 1, 11:45PM–12:00AM ET window higher or lower than it started, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. Traders are pricing the short-term BTC move across the Up/Down outcome, with PolySpotter tracking $2,971 in smart-money activity and one recent signal: a 94% BTC scalper buying Down.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET1 signal · $2,971 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 94% BTC scalper buys Down

    Surface: a highly proven short-term BTC bettor with a 94% win rate is putting nearly $3k on Down, bigger than this market's 24h volume.

    $2,971Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.9

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x878965257b$2,971 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down odds for July 1, 11:45PM–12:00AM ET?

The odds reflect whether traders expect Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price to end the 15-minute window at or above its starting price, or below it. Check the live market prices on the event page for the latest implied probabilities.

What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin prediction market?

PolySpotter has tracked $2,971 in smart-money activity for this event. The latest notable alert shows a 94% BTC scalper buying Down, suggesting at least one high-performing trader is positioning for Bitcoin to finish lower over the interval.

How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The market resolves to Up if the BTC/USD price from Chainlink at the end of the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning. It resolves to Down if the ending price is lower.

Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another Bitcoin price?

No. This event resolves specifically using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream, not prices from individual exchanges or other charting sources.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down event resolve?

The event covers July 1 from 11:45PM to 12:00AM ET and is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-02 04:00:00 UTC, based on the Chainlink BTC/USD comparison for that window.