Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,243 tracked · resolves Jul 3, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 7:15–7:30AM ET window on July 3 higher or lower than where it started, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. Traders are pricing the short-term move through Up and Down outcomes, with PolySpotter tracking $1,243 in smart money activity and a signal from a serial crypto market winner.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET1 signal · $1,243 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Serial crypto market winner

    Serial cross-market trader with an 82% resolved win rate is backing Down in a short BTC market, though lifetime profit is modest and price has moved against the entry.

    $1,243Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x71fbff163f$1,243 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down July 3 odds on Polymarket?

The odds reflect how Polymarket traders are pricing whether BTC will end the 7:15–7:30AM ET window at or above its starting price, or below it. Check the live market prices for the latest implied probabilities.

What does smart money show for this Bitcoin Up/Down market?

PolySpotter is tracking $1,243 in smart money across this event, including a recent signal tied to a serial crypto market winner. That can help identify whether experienced traders are leaning toward Up or Down.

How does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?

The market resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 7:30AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 7:15AM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to Down.

Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another exchange price?

No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, so prices on individual exchanges may differ from the official source.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down July 3 market resolve?

It is scheduled to resolve after the 7:15–7:30AM ET trading window on July 3, once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD prices are available.