Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,470 tracked · resolves Jul 4, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the July 4, 2:30AM–2:45AM ET window up or down based on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream. PolySpotter has flagged $1,470 in smart money activity, including a signal from a perfect-record crypto bettor, making this a short-term BTC prediction market to watch closely.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET1 signal · $1,470 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Perfect-record crypto bettor

    Despite the weak alert signal, this is worth surfacing because the wallet has a perfect 13-0 resolved record and strong lifetime profit, though the market has moved sharply against the entry.

    $1,470Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 3.4

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xf8e50a905b$1,470 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins

FAQs

What is the Bitcoin Up or Down July 4 prediction market?

It is a Polymarket event asking whether Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price at 2:45AM ET will be greater than or equal to its price at 2:30AM ET. If it is, the market resolves to Up; otherwise, it resolves to Down.

What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4?

The odds move in real time as traders buy and sell positions on Polymarket. PolySpotter tracks those market prices along with smart money activity to show whether informed bettors are leaning Up or Down.

Who is betting on this Bitcoin market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,470 in smart money across this event, including a recent alert tied to a perfect-record crypto bettor. That signal can help users see where notable traders are positioning before resolution.

When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The market resolves after the 2:30AM–2:45AM ET window on July 4, using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream as the resolution source.