Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,004 tracked · resolves Jul 4, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the July 4, 3:15AM–3:30AM ET window higher or lower versus its starting price, using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream for resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $1,004 in smart money activity, including a signal flagged from a perfect-record BTC bettor.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET1 signal · $1,004 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Perfect-record BTC bettor

    Surfaced because the buyer has a perfect 14-0 resolved record and strong lifetime profit, despite this being a short-duration BTC market with only a price-impact signal.

    $1,004Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 7.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xf8e50a905b$1,004 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down odds for July 4, 3:15AM ET?

The odds reflect Polymarket traders' live pricing on whether BTC ends the 3:15AM–3:30AM ET window up or down versus its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price.

What is the smart money doing in this Bitcoin prediction market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,004 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent alert tied to a perfect-record BTC bettor.

How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

It resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 3:30AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 3:15AM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to Down.

When does the Bitcoin July 4 3:15AM–3:30AM ET market resolve?

The event resolves after the 15-minute window ends, with the listed resolution time at 2026-07-04 07:30 UTC, using Chainlink BTC/USD data.