Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,440 tracked · resolves May 2, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin will finish higher or lower from 12:00PM to 4:00PM ET on May 2, based on Chainlink BTC/USD data. PolySpotter has tracked $1,440 in smart money activity, including a profitable serial timer buying the Down side, giving traders a quick read on where sharper flow is leaning.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET1 signal · $1,440 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial timer buys Down

    Profitable serial near-resolution bettor bought Down minutes before expiry and the market has already moved sharply in that direction.

    $1,440Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 5.8

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xe1d6b5907c$1,440 · 1 market · 1 alert · 50% wins

FAQs

What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?

The market prices show the live implied odds that Bitcoin will be up or down between 12:00PM and 4:00PM ET on May 2. PolySpotter helps track how those odds move and whether smart money is taking a side.

What is smart money doing in this Bitcoin prediction market?

PolySpotter has flagged $1,440 in tracked smart money activity for this event. The notable recent signal was a profitable serial timer buying Down, suggesting at least one sharp trader expects BTC to finish below its starting price for the window.

How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The market resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 4:00PM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 12:00PM ET. If the ending price is lower than the starting price, it resolves to Down.

Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another Bitcoin price?

No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not prices from individual exchanges or other charting sources.

When does the Bitcoin May 2 12–4PM ET market resolve?

The event resolves after the 12:00PM–4:00PM ET window on May 2, once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD start and end prices are confirmed.