Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,992 tracked · resolves May 3, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes higher or lower from 4:00AM to 8:00AM ET on May 3, based on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream. Traders are betting on the short-term BTC direction, with PolySpotter currently flagging smart money activity around the “Up” side from a profitable serial timer.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET1 signal · $1,992 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial timer buying Up

    Serial near-resolution crypto bettor with large lifetime profit bought Up at 82¢ and the market has already moved to 88¢.

    $1,992Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 4.4

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xe1d6b5907c$1,992 · 1 market · 1 alert · 50% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 3 odds on Polymarket?

The event’s odds reflect the market-implied probability that Bitcoin will end the 4:00AM–8:00AM ET window at or above its starting price. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket pricing alongside smart money activity.

What is the smart money doing in this Bitcoin prediction market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,992 in smart money activity across this event, with a recent signal showing a profitable serial timer buying the “Up” outcome.

How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The market resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 8:00AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 4:00AM ET. If it is lower, the market resolves to “Down.”

Is this market based on Coinbase, Binance, or another Bitcoin price?

No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not prices from individual exchanges or other Bitcoin indexes.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 3 market resolve?

The event covers the 4:00AM–8:00AM ET window on May 3 and is expected to resolve after the ending Chainlink BTC/USD price is available, with the listed resolution time by May 3, 2026 at 12:00 UTC.