PolySpotter

Follow the smart money

Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,459 tracked · resolves May 10, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET window higher or lower than where it started, using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream for resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $1,459 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent signal from a profitable serial timer.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET1 signal · $1,459 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial timer

    Serial near-resolution bettor with large lifetime profit bought Down minutes before expiry and the market has since moved strongly in their favor.

    $1,459Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 12.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xb55fa1…64d4$1,459 · 1 market · 1 alert · 51% wins

FAQs

What is the Bitcoin Up or Down May 10 prediction market?

It is a short-term Polymarket event where traders bet on whether Bitcoin will be up or down over the May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET window. The market resolves “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the window is greater than or equal to the starting price; otherwise it resolves “Down.”

Where can I see the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down May 10?

PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket odds for this event, along with smart money activity and alerts that can help explain how sophisticated traders are positioning.

What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,459 in smart money volume across this event, with one recent alert headline noting activity from a profitable serial timer. That suggests at least one historically successful trader is active in this short-window Bitcoin market.

When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The event covers the 12:00AM-4:00AM ET window on May 10 and is scheduled to resolve by 2026-05-10 08:00:00 UTC. Resolution is based on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not prices from other exchanges or data providers.

Does “Up” mean Bitcoin only needs to rise by a little?

Yes. The market resolves to “Up” if the ending Chainlink BTC/USD price is greater than or equal to the starting price, even by a very small amount. If the ending price is lower, it resolves to “Down.”