Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,794 tracked · resolves May 10, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes up or down over the 5-minute window from 6:35AM to 6:40AM ET on May 10, based on Chainlink BTC/USD data. PolySpotter is tracking $1,794 in smart-money activity across this event, including a signal from a high-frequency trader profile flagged as a “serial timer” with a 92% win rate.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET1 signal · $1,794 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Serial timer, 92% wins

    Profitable serial near-resolution bettor with a 92% record bought Down minutes before this BTC 5-minute market resolves.

    $1,794Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 10.1

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x18614cff2a$1,794 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 10 odds?

The odds reflect the market’s current probability that Bitcoin will be at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price by 6:40AM ET, versus finishing below it. Because this is a 5-minute crypto market, odds can move quickly as traders react to short-term price action.

What does “Up” mean in this Bitcoin prediction market?

“Up” resolves yes if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the 6:35AM–6:40AM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the window. If the ending price is lower, the market resolves to “Down.”

What is the smart money doing in this event?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,794 in smart-money activity and 1 signal for this event. The recent alert highlighted a “serial timer” trader with a reported 92% win rate, suggesting notable attention from a short-window market specialist.

When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

This event resolves after the 6:35AM–6:40AM ET window on May 10, using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream as the resolution source. The listed resolution time is 10:40 UTC.

Is this based on Bitcoin prices from Coinbase or Binance?

No. The market specifically resolves using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not prices from a single exchange such as Coinbase, Binance, or another trading venue.