Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $2,117 tracked · resolves May 11, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes higher or lower over the 5-minute window from May 11, 3:25AM to 3:30AM ET, based on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream. PolySpotter has identified $2,117 in smart money activity, including a signal from a profitable serial timer, giving traders extra context around who is positioning on this short-term BTC move.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET1 signal · $2,117 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial timer

    Serial near-resolution bettor with strong lifetime profit bought Up at 60¢ minutes before resolution, combining timing edge with a large bet relative to baseline volume.

    $2,117Wallet win rate: 62%Score: 6.3

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xeefe46be43$2,117 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins

FAQs

What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11, 3:25AM–3:30AM ET?

The live odds are based on Polymarket trading for whether Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price ends the 5-minute window higher or lower than it started. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money activity so you can see how sharper traders are positioning.

What does “Up” mean in this Bitcoin prediction market?

“Up” resolves if the BTC/USD price from Chainlink at 3:30AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 3:25AM ET. If it is lower, the market resolves to “Down.”

Is smart money betting on this Bitcoin 5-minute market?

Yes. PolySpotter tracked $2,117 in smart money across this event, with a recent signal flagged as a profitable serial timer. That suggests at least one historically successful short-window trader has been active in this market.

When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The market resolves after the May 11, 3:25AM–3:30AM ET window ends, using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream as the resolution source.

Why can Polymarket Bitcoin odds differ from exchange prices?

This market resolves specifically against Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not directly against Coinbase, Binance, or another exchange. Small differences in data source timing can matter in a 5-minute Bitcoin market.