Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,829 tracked · resolves May 11, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the May 11, 12:50PM–12:55PM ET window up or down versus its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. Traders are betting on a very short-term BTC move, and PolySpotter has flagged $1,829 in smart-money activity, including a signal from a profitable serial timer.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET1 signal · $1,829 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial timer

    Serial near-resolution bettor bought Down 6 minutes before close and the position immediately resolved to 100%, with positive prior P&L despite a modest 60% win rate.

    $1,829Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 6.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xe9ba96f626$1,829 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 11 odds?

The odds reflect Polymarket pricing on whether BTC ends the 12:50PM–12:55PM ET window at or above its starting price, or below it. PolySpotter tracks the market and highlights notable smart-money activity behind those odds.

How does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?

The market resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the five-minute window is greater than or equal to the price at the start. If it is lower, the market resolves to “Down.”

What is the smart money doing on this event?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,829 in smart-money volume across this event, with one recent signal flagged as a “profitable serial timer,” suggesting activity from a trader with a history in short-duration timing markets.

Is this market based on Coinbase, Binance, or another exchange price?

No. This event uses the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream as its resolution source, so the outcome depends on Chainlink’s reported BTC price rather than any single exchange quote.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The event is scheduled to resolve after the May 11, 12:50PM–12:55PM ET trading window, with resolution expected by 2026-05-11 16:55:00 UTC.