Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $5,748 tracked · resolves May 12, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes up or down over the five-minute window from May 12, 2:20AM to 2:25AM ET, using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream for resolution. Traders are betting on the short-term BTC price direction, with PolySpotter tracking $5,748 in smart money activity and a recent signal from a profitable serial timer.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET1 signal · $5,748 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial timer

    Profitable serial near-resolution crypto bettor placed a $5.7k Up bet shortly before a 5-minute BTC market resolved, with a positive track record and meaningful size versus early market activity.

    $5,748Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 6.6

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xe9ba96f626$5,748 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 12 odds on Polymarket?

The odds reflect the market-implied probability that Bitcoin's Chainlink BTC/USD price will be greater than or equal to its starting price at 2:20AM ET by the 2:25AM ET endpoint. PolySpotter tracks these odds alongside smart money activity as the five-minute window approaches.

What outcomes can traders bet on in this event?

This event has two possible outcomes: Up or Down. It resolves to Up if the BTC/USD price at the end of the window is equal to or higher than the price at the beginning; otherwise it resolves to Down.

What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin prediction market?

PolySpotter has tracked $5,748 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent alert labeled “Profitable serial timer,” suggesting activity from a trader with a history of timing similar short-duration markets.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 12 market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve after the May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET time range, using Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream as the resolution source.

Does this market use Coinbase, Binance, or another exchange price?

No. The market resolves based on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream, not the Bitcoin price shown on any specific exchange or trading app.