PolySpotter

Follow the smart money

Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $2,174 tracked · resolves May 12, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes up or down during the May 12, 5:05AM–5:10AM ET window, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $2,174 in smart money activity, including a last-minute BTC bettor signal that may help traders interpret the market’s final moves.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET1 signal · $2,174 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Last-minute BTC bettor

    A profitable wallet made a concentrated last-minute Down bet in a thin 5-minute BTC market, moving into profit immediately, though the track record is only moderate.

    $2,174Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 3.3

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xa0a507…606f$2,174 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down odds for May 12, 5:05AM–5:10AM ET?

The odds reflect Polymarket traders’ expectations for whether Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price will be greater than or equal to its starting price at the end of the five-minute window. Check the live market prices for the latest implied probabilities.

What is the smart money doing in this Bitcoin prediction market?

PolySpotter has tracked $2,174 in smart money across this event, with one recent signal flagged as a last-minute BTC bettor. That suggests at least one monitored trader made a notable move close to the event window.

How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The market resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 5:10AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 5:05AM ET. If it is lower, the market resolves to “Down.”

Does this market use Coinbase or Binance prices?

No. Resolution is based specifically on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream, not prices from Coinbase, Binance, or other exchanges.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 12 market resolve?

The event is scheduled to resolve after the five-minute trading window ends, with resolution by May 12, 2026 at 09:10 UTC, corresponding to 5:10AM ET.