Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $2,261 tracked · resolves May 15, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 4:20–4:25AM ET window on May 15 higher or lower than it started, using Chainlink BTC/USD data. PolySpotter follows the Up/Down odds plus smart money activity, including a recent signal tied to a 91% serial timer.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET1 signal · $2,261 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 91% serial timer

    Sharp wallet with a 91% historical win rate and repeated near-resolution success bought $2.3k of Down minutes before this BTC market resolves.

    $2,261Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 11.2

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xee4ecae2cc$2,261 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins

FAQs

What is the Bitcoin Up or Down May 15 4:20AM prediction market?

It is a short-duration Polymarket event on whether BTC/USD will be at or above its starting price at 4:25AM ET versus 4:20AM ET. If it is higher or equal, Up wins; otherwise, Down wins.

How do the odds work for this Bitcoin Up or Down event?

The odds reflect the market-implied probability that Bitcoin will finish the five-minute window Up or Down. Prices can move quickly as traders react to BTC momentum and order flow.

What is the smart money doing on this market?

PolySpotter tracked $2,261 in smart money across this event and one recent signal, highlighted by a “91% serial timer” alert. That suggests a notable trader or pattern has appeared, but it is not a guarantee of the outcome.

When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The event resolves after the 4:20–4:25AM ET window on May 15, using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream as the resolution source.