Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
1 signal across 1 market · $1,052 tracked · resolves May 15, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes up or down during the five-minute window from 4:30AM to 4:35AM ET on May 15, using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream for resolution. Traders are pricing a simple directional outcome, while PolySpotter has flagged $1,052 in smart money activity, including a recent “New timer up $10K” alert.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0x1202c1…054b$1,052 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15 at 4:30AM ET?
The odds reflect Polymarket traders’ live pricing on whether Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price will be higher or equal at 4:35AM ET compared with 4:30AM ET. Check the event page for the latest market-implied probability.
What does “Up” mean in this Bitcoin prediction market?
“Up” resolves yes if the Bitcoin price at the end of the 4:30AM–4:35AM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of the window. If it is lower, the market resolves to “Down.”
What is the smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter is tracking $1,052 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal. The latest alert headline noted a “New timer up $10K,” suggesting notable trader activity around the short-term Bitcoin move.
What source determines the result?
This event resolves based on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not prices from Coinbase, Binance, or other exchanges. The relevant comparison is the Chainlink price at the start and end of the five-minute window.
When does this Polymarket event resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve after the 4:30AM–4:35AM ET window on May 15, with the listed resolution time at 2026-05-15 08:35 UTC.