Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,200 tracked · resolves May 15, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes up or down during the May 15, 9:40AM–9:45AM ET five-minute window, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. PolySpotter has flagged $1,200 in smart money activity, including a sharp last-minute BTC bettor, making this a short-term crypto prediction market to watch closely.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET1 signal · $1,200 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp last-minute BTC bettor

    Surfacing because a proven high-win-rate wallet made a last-minute Down bet that moved strongly in its favor before resolution.

    $1,200Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.3

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x447fdc0ee3$1,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 15 odds?

The odds reflect whether traders expect Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price at 9:45AM ET to be greater than or equal to its price at 9:40AM ET. Check the live market for the latest Up and Down pricing as the window approaches.

What does “Up” mean in this Bitcoin prediction market?

“Up” means the Bitcoin price at the end of the 9:40AM–9:45AM ET range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning, according to Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream. If it is lower, the market resolves to “Down.”

Is smart money betting on this BTC market?

PolySpotter tracks $1,200 in smart money across this event and recently flagged a sharp last-minute BTC bettor. That suggests at least one monitored trader made a notable move close to the resolution window.

When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

This market resolves after the May 15, 9:40AM–9:45AM ET window ends, using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream as the official source.

Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another BTC price?

No. This event resolves specifically using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not the price shown on Coinbase, Binance, or any other exchange.