Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
1 signal across 1 market · $2,194 tracked · resolves May 15, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET window up or down versus its starting price, using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream for resolution. Traders are pricing a short, five-minute BTC move, and PolySpotter has tracked $2,194 in smart money activity, including a signal from a profitable serial timer.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa0a507…606f$2,194 · 1 market · 1 alert · 49% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 15 odds?
The odds reflect Polymarket traders' live pricing on whether BTC will end the 7:45PM-7:50PM ET window at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price, or below it. Check the event page for the latest market-implied probability.
What does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve on?
It resolves based on Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream. If the Bitcoin price at the end of the five-minute window is greater than or equal to the price at the start, the market resolves to Up; otherwise, it resolves to Down.
What is the smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,194 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal highlighted as a profitable serial timer. That suggests at least one historically successful short-window trader has participated.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The event is scheduled around May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET and resolves after the end of that window once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD data is available.
Is this the same as betting on Bitcoin's daily price?
No. This is a very short-term, five-minute prediction market. It only asks whether Bitcoin is up or down over the specified 7:45PM-7:50PM ET interval, not whether BTC rises over the full day.