Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $2,194 tracked · resolves May 15, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET window up or down versus its starting price, using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream for resolution. Traders are pricing a short, five-minute BTC move, and PolySpotter has tracked $2,194 in smart money activity, including a signal from a profitable serial timer.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET1 signal · $2,194 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial timer

    Serial near-resolution trader with positive P&L bought Up six minutes before a 5-minute BTC market resolved, combining timing edge with a large thin-market bet.

    $2,194Wallet win rate: 49%Score: 6.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xa0a507606f$2,194 · 1 market · 1 alert · 49% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 15 odds?

The odds reflect Polymarket traders' live pricing on whether BTC will end the 7:45PM-7:50PM ET window at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price, or below it. Check the event page for the latest market-implied probability.

What does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve on?

It resolves based on Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream. If the Bitcoin price at the end of the five-minute window is greater than or equal to the price at the start, the market resolves to Up; otherwise, it resolves to Down.

What is the smart money doing on this event?

PolySpotter has tracked $2,194 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal highlighted as a profitable serial timer. That suggests at least one historically successful short-window trader has participated.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The event is scheduled around May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET and resolves after the end of that window once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD data is available.

Is this the same as betting on Bitcoin's daily price?

No. This is a very short-term, five-minute prediction market. It only asks whether Bitcoin is up or down over the specified 7:45PM-7:50PM ET interval, not whether BTC rises over the full day.