Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $2,825 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes up or down over the May 15, 10:35PM–10:40PM ET five-minute window, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $2,825 in smart money activity, including a recent signal from a 96% BTC micro-bettor, to help surface how sharp traders are positioning.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET1 signal · $2,825 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 96% BTC micro-bettor

    Sharp short-term BTC bettor with a 26/27 resolved record bought $2.8k of Down just before the 5-minute window, and the price has already moved in their favor.

    $2,825Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 4.1

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x18614cff2a$2,825 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 15 odds?

The odds reflect whether traders expect the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 10:40PM ET to be greater than or equal to the price at 10:35PM ET. Check the live event page for the latest Polymarket pricing across the Up and Down outcome.

How does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?

It resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream price at the end of the five-minute window is greater than or equal to the price at the start. Otherwise, it resolves to “Down.”

What is the smart money doing on this market?

PolySpotter has tracked $2,825 in smart money activity for this event, with one recent alert highlighting a 96% BTC micro-bettor. That signal can help identify whether experienced short-window BTC traders are leaning Up or Down.

Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another exchange price?

No. This market resolves using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not the Bitcoin price from Coinbase, Binance, or any other single exchange.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 15 market resolve?

The market covers the May 15, 10:35PM–10:40PM ET window and is scheduled to resolve after the 10:40PM ET endpoint once the Chainlink BTC/USD data is available.