Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $2,426 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026

This Bitcoin Up or Down event is a 5-minute Polymarket prediction market on whether BTC finishes the May 15, 11:05PM–11:10PM ET window at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. PolySpotter tracks the event’s live odds and smart money activity, including a recent late buy from a trader with a 97% winner profile.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET1 signal · $2,426 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 97% winner buying late

    A highly profitable 97% win-rate wallet made a sizeable last-minute BUY on Up despite the market trading back near 50%.

    $2,426Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 6.4

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x18614cff2a$2,426 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins

FAQs

What is the Bitcoin Up or Down May 15 prediction market?

It is a short-term Polymarket event asking whether Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price will be higher than or equal to its starting price during the 11:05PM–11:10PM ET window on May 15. If not, the market resolves to Down.

How are the Bitcoin Up or Down odds determined?

The odds come from Polymarket trading activity. Prices move as traders buy and sell Up or Down shares based on their expectations for Bitcoin’s price over the 5-minute window.

What is smart money doing in this Bitcoin market?

PolySpotter has tracked $2,426 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal noting late buying from a trader associated with a 97% winner profile.

When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The market resolves after the May 15, 11:05PM–11:10PM ET time range, using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream as the resolution source.

Does this market use Coinbase or Binance Bitcoin prices?

No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, so prices from other exchanges or data providers do not determine the outcome.