Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
1 signal across 1 market · $2,068 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes up or down during the five-minute window from May 15, 11:40PM to 11:45PM ET, based on Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream. PolySpotter is monitoring the market for smart money activity, including a recent signal from a profitable serial timer trading this short-term BTC direction event.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa0a507…606f$2,068 · 1 market · 1 alert · 52% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 15 odds?
The odds reflect how traders are pricing whether Bitcoin will be at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price at 11:45PM ET versus lower than its starting price at 11:40PM ET. PolySpotter tracks these prediction market odds along with smart money activity.
How does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the 11:40PM–11:45PM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the start. It resolves to Down if the ending price is lower.
What is the smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked about $2,068 in smart money tied to this event, with one recent signal highlighted as a profitable serial timer. That suggests an experienced short-window trader has been active in this BTC direction market.
Is this based on Coinbase or Binance Bitcoin prices?
No. This event resolves specifically using Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream, so prices on exchanges like Coinbase, Binance, or Kraken may not determine the outcome.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve after the May 15, 11:40PM–11:45PM ET window, once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD start and end prices are available.