Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
2 signals across 1 market · $2,505 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes up or down over the five-minute window from 1:40AM to 1:45AM ET on May 16, using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream for resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $2,505 in smart money across 2 signals, including activity from a “90% serial timer” and a fresh profitable BTC timer.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 90% serial timer
Sharp 90% winner with strong lifetime profit bought Down in a very quiet BTC market, backed by a repeated near-resolution betting pattern.
$1,389Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 16.5 - Fresh profitable BTC timer
A brand-new wallet with early profits is making another near-resolution BTC direction bet that is very large relative to this tiny market’s volume.
$1,116Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 14.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xee4eca…e2cc$1,389 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x925748…09fe$1,116 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
FAQs
What is the Bitcoin Up or Down May 16 prediction market?
It is a short-duration Polymarket event where traders bet on whether Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price will be greater than or equal to its starting price at the end of the 1:40AM–1:45AM ET window.
How do the Bitcoin Up or Down odds resolve?
The market resolves to Up if the BTC/USD price from Chainlink at 1:45AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 1:40AM ET. If it is lower, the market resolves to Down.
What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin market?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,505 in smart money and 2 signals for this event, including alerts tied to a 90% serial timer and a fresh profitable BTC timer.
Where can I see the latest Bitcoin Up or Down odds?
You can follow the event hub for live Polymarket odds, smart money alerts, and trader activity around the Bitcoin Up or Down market.
What data source determines the final result?
Resolution is based on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not prices from other exchanges or charting platforms.