Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
2 signals across 1 market · $2,563 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 2:00AM–2:05AM ET window on May 16 up or down versus its starting price, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. PolySpotter is monitoring $2,563 in tracked smart money across the event, including signals from profitable short-term BTC traders such as a fresh BTC timer and a 12-for-12 crypto timer.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Fresh profitable BTC timer
Fresh wallet is repeatedly placing sizeable short-window BTC bets and already shows strong early profit, though the track record is still very small.
$1,291Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 10.2 - 12-for-12 crypto timer
Sharp-wallet override: a 12-for-12 profitable bettor bought Up minutes before resolution despite the short-duration timing signal being otherwise weak.
$1,271Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 4.8
Top wallets in this event
- 0x925748…09fe$1,291 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x6ef5cb…267b$1,271 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 16 odds on Polymarket?
The odds reflect the market-implied chance that Bitcoin ends the 2:00AM–2:05AM ET window at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket pricing along with smart money activity around the Up and Down outcome.
What is the smart money doing in this Bitcoin prediction market?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,563 in smart money activity and 2 signals for this event. Recent alerts highlight a profitable BTC timer and a crypto timer with a 12-for-12 record, making this a market where short-window trading behavior may be especially relevant.
How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The market resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 2:05AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 2:00AM ET. If the ending price is lower than the starting price, it resolves to Down.
Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another Bitcoin price?
No. This event resolves using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, so prices on individual exchanges may differ from the official resolution source.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 16 market end?
The trading window covers May 16 from 2:00AM to 2:05AM ET, and the event is expected to resolve shortly after the 2:05AM ET endpoint once the Chainlink BTC/USD data is available.