PolySpotter

Follow the smart money

Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,589 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 2:35AM–2:40AM ET window on May 16 at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price, or below it. PolySpotter is tracking $1,589 in smart-money activity on the event, including a recent signal from a newly surfaced wallet up $12.9K.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET1 signal · $1,589 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. New wallet up $12.9K

    A 1.5-hour-old wallet with repeated large BTC binary bets and $12.9K early profit bought Up shortly before resolution, though the track record is still short.

    $1,589Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 7.7

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x925748…09fe$1,589 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins

FAQs

What is the Bitcoin Up or Down May 16 prediction market?

It is a short-term Polymarket event on whether Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price ends the 2:35AM–2:40AM ET window higher than or equal to where it started, or lower.

How do the Bitcoin Up or Down odds resolve?

The market resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 2:40AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 2:35AM ET. If it is lower, it resolves to “Down.”

What is the smart money doing on this event?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,589 in smart-money activity across this event, with one recent alert highlighting a new wallet that is up $12.9K.

When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The event is scheduled to resolve after the 2:35AM–2:40AM ET window on May 16, using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream as the resolution source.

Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another Bitcoin price?

No. Resolution is based specifically on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream, so prices on individual exchanges may differ from the official resolution source.