Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $3,474 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 3:45AM–3:50AM ET window on May 16 higher or lower than where it started, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $3,474 in smart money activity, including a recent signal showing an 83% winner near expiry.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET1 signal · $3,474 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 83% winner near expiry

    Sharp wallet with an 83% record and +$30.8k P&L made a large near-resolution BUY on Up despite the noisy short-duration BTC market.

    $3,474Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 12.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x92574809fe$3,474 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 16 odds?

The odds reflect the market’s live expectation that Bitcoin will end the 3:45AM–3:50AM ET window either up or down versus its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price.

How does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?

It resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the five-minute window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning. Otherwise, it resolves to “Down.”

What is the smart money doing on this event?

PolySpotter has tracked $3,474 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent alert noting an 83% winner near expiry.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

This event covers May 16 from 3:45AM to 3:50AM ET and resolves after the end of that window, based on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream.