PolySpotter

Follow the smart money

Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $2,509 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes up or down over the May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET five-minute window, using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream for resolution. PolySpotter has tracked $2,509 in smart money activity, with a recent alert showing a 97% winner buying BTC Up.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET1 signal · $2,509 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 97% winner buying BTC Up

    Surface because this is a highly profitable sharp wallet with a 97% resolved win rate buying Up in a short-term BTC market, reinforced by a strong serial cross-market track record.

    $2,509Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 12.4

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x18614c…ff2a$2,509 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins

More on this event

Cross-market thesis
Bitcoin rises by 4:50AM

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 16 odds?

The odds reflect Polymarket trading on whether Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price will be higher or lower at 4:50AM ET than it was at 4:45AM ET on May 16.

What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin market?

PolySpotter has tracked $2,509 in smart money across this event, including a recent signal that a 97% winner was buying BTC Up.

How does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?

The market resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the 4:45AM-4:50AM ET window is greater than or equal to the starting price. Otherwise, it resolves to Down.

Is this based on Coinbase or Binance BTC prices?

No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not Bitcoin prices from exchanges like Coinbase, Binance, or other sources.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

This event is scheduled to resolve after the 4:45AM-4:50AM ET window on May 16, with the listed resolution time at 2026-05-16 08:50 UTC.